Much ado was made at the end of 2015 over a strange star
known as KIC 8462852 or "Tabby's Star" after Dr. Tabitha Boyajian,
one of the scientists investigating it. The mystery began when a group of
citizen scientists known as "The Planet Hunters" were looking at
light curves taken by the Kepler spacecraft in 2011. Within these light curves,
the planet hunters can see dips in brightness that happen when a planet moves
in front of its parent star blocking the light just a little bit. This is how
hundreds of exoplanets were found using Kepler, which is remarkable in and of
itself. However, one light curve looked very, very strange. Like unprecedented
strange.
Within the light curve of Tabby's star, enormous multi-day
dimming events were apparent where very large objects or swarms of objects were
seen passing in front of the star blocking as much as 22 percent of its light.
Compare that to our solar system where at the same distance gigantic Jupiter
would block only about 1 percent of the sun's light. Something very large
indeed was blocking the light from Tabby's star.
In their original paper, Boyajian and her colleagues
concluded that very few natural phenomena could be responsible for that amount
of blocked starlight, and none of those explanations fit very well with what
they were seeing in the light curve. Ultimately, they concluded that the most
likely explanation was a swarm of comets breaking up causing the light to dim
from dust and gas. This, however, was not a great explanation, merely the best
plausible one. Then, Jason Wright at Pennsylvania
State university offered another
possibility: that the light was being blocked by gigantic alien megastructures.
That may sound like far-fetched science fiction, but in
reality it's not. An object called a Dyson sphere was cited as one possible
type of megastructure that might fit the bill. A Dyson sphere, or more probably
a Dyson swarm, could be built by an advanced alien civilization to harvest
solar energy from their star. We ourselves are already starting our own primitive Dyson swarm in the form the
multitude of spacecraft in solar orbit that we have launched over the decades,
so the idea is not that much of a stretch for a civilization considerably older
and more advanced than our own. The trick however, is in catching them in the
act of having the sphere. The odds are likely low that we would just happen to
be looking at just the right moment in time to catch a glimpse of a Dyson
sphere due to the relatively short window in geologic time that such a thing
might exist. This part of the story has recently become even more complicated
because there may be indications that if it is a Dyson's Sphere, it is
currently under construction. More on that in a minute.
In an attempt to resolve the question, SETI radio astronomers
pointed the Allen Telescope Array towards Tabby's star to look for radio and
laser emissions. They saw nothing. But that may not mean too much. The result
is not all that surprising, given that Tabby's star is 1,480 light years away
which would require extremely powerful radio transmitters pointed directly at
us for us to hear them. It seems unlikely that an advanced alien civilization
would do that on purpose unless they wanted to contact us. But given the
distances, they have no way of knowing that we are here. From their perspective
they see us 1,480 years in the past, about the time when the western Roman
Empire had just fallen. That was long before anyone here emitted any radio
waves for the aliens to pick up. And, of course, there's no guarantee that an
alien civilization would care to contact a civilization far more primitive than
their own.
It was at this point that the story began to lose the media's
attention. But the story did not end there and several intriguing new
developments have come out over the last few months. It came in the form of a
paper by Dr. Bradley Schaefer of Louisiana State University. Using photographic
plates from Harvard that were taken over the course of a century, he discovered
that Tabby's Star not only dims periodically, but has been dimming overall for
over a century. This is a very short time for a star of this class to dim as
much as it did. Stars like this dim over timeframes of millions of years, not
hundreds. He concluded that the unprecedented long-term dimming that he
observed, and the light curve dips seen by Kepler must be due to the same
phenomenon when Ockham's razor is applied. For this to be a phenomenon related
to a group of comets, he calculated that it would require 648,000 giant comets orchestrated
to pass in front of the star in order to explain the century long trend. That
is considered to be implausible. Whatever this is, it doesn't appear to be due
to a swarm of comets.
The second development was known about but not well talked
about in the media when the story was hot. It involves a specific feature
within the Kepler light curve that presents an interesting mystery. Around day
800 during Kepler's run, a single, large dip occurred over several days that
presented very smooth geometry. While this could be interpreted in several
ways, one of the ways is that a giant isosceles triangle passed in front of the
star.
This is interesting for those willing to entertain the
possibility of alien megastructures. It has been suggested that the easiest way
to announce to the universe that you exist is not by building huge radio
beacons, those require incomprehensibly massive amounts of energy, but instead
constructing a huge object, like a baffle, perhaps out of Mylar or a similar
material, in such a shape that is not possible in nature. Then you make it pass
in front of your star and then anyone with a Kepler spacecraft can see it. A
triangle might be one such shape. It's worth noting though that comets are
isosceles triangle shaped, but there's a catch, to make this particular
signature in the light curve, the comet's tale would have to be pointing
towards the star. Very odd, but not impossible, in fact the original Boyajian paper
gives an explanation for how that could happen, but this new comet
implausibility issue may call that into question and that certainly deepens the
mystery.
But then we run into problems with the alien megastructure
idea. While I consider the megastructure hypothesis unlikely, I am a science
fiction writer rather than a scientist so I'm allowed to speculate a little
more than they can. The amount of dimming Schaefer observed is very
significant, about 20 percent over a century. That's a lot. For an alien race
to create structures that rapidly in order to account for the overall dimming trend,
they would have to be in one serious rush. To a point that it seems impossible.
But maybe not, at least if you're willing to entertain ideas of future
technology.
Building giant objects very rapidly might eventually be
possible through the use of self-replicating nanotechnology. Evoking the Grey
Goo, a single self-replicating nanobot could in theory exponentially reproduce
like a virus and consume the entire mass of the earth within two days. That's a
lot of work over a short time. Needless to say, nano-technology theoretically
can also build things very rapidly. But to create megastructures of this apparent
size that block that much light would require enormous amounts of matter. Think
completely disassembling the planets in your solar system amounts of matter. So
is it possible that an alien civilization is constructing a Dyson's swarm very
rapidly using nanotech? Well, yeah, possibly. Or the phenomenon behind Tabby's
star could just be a wild goose chase with a natural explanation that we
haven't thought of yet. Only time will tell.
So there you have it, that's where the Tabby's Star story is
as of April 11, 2016. What could be the biggest news story in centuries is
still ongoing, with the possibility of alien megastructures still not
discounted. Of course, it could still get discounted, and very probably will,
but for now this is the most tantalizing hint we've ever seen that we are not
alone, even more so than the famous 1970's Wow! signal of SETI fame.
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